Alexey Dm. Zavyalov


姓名:Alexey Dm. Zavyalov

1948年3月5日生于俄罗斯莫斯科伊万捷耶夫卡

E-mail: zavyalov@ifz.ru

EDUCATION:

Mining engineer-physicist, Moscow Mining Institute (1972).

Ph.D. in Geophysics, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1985).

Dr. of Science, in Geophysics, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (2003).

  POSITIONS HELD:

Student of Moscow Mining Institute (1966-1972)

Collector, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1967-1968).

Demonstrator, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1970-1972).

Engineer, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1972-1974).

Junior scientific researcher, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1974-1986).

Senior scientific researcher, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1986-1993).

Scientific secretary, Institute of Seismology, Russian Academy of Sciences (1993-1998).

Leading scientific researcher, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (1998-2004).

Head of the Laboratory of Seismic Hazard, Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences (2004-Present time).

Member of Editorial Board, Journal “Volcanology and Seismology” (1999-Present time).

Member of Editorial Board, Journal “Geophysical Researches” (2009-Present time).

Vice-Chairman, Chairman, Scientific Secretary of the Section of Seismology and Earth’s Interior Physics of the National Geophysical Committee of Russia (1998-Present time).

Secretary of Subcommission on Earthquake Prediction Research of European Seismological Commission (2002-2006).

Titular member of Russia in European Seismological Commission (2006-Present time).

Scientific Secretary of Scientific Council on Problems of Seismology, Russian Academy of Sciences (2006-Present time).

Chairmen of IASPEI Commission on Earthquake Sources: Modeling and Monitoring for Prediction (2007-2013).

Vice-President (2010-2012), President (2012-2014), Past-President (2014-2016) of European Seismological Commission.

Member of Bureau of National Geophysical Committee of Russia (2011-Present time).

IASPEI Executive Committee member (2011-2015).

 SCIENTIFIC CONTRIBUTIONS:

(1) In 1967-1980 he participated in the organization of station network for registration of electrotelluric field to reveal earthquakes precursors in Kamchatka and in Central Asia (Garm), in data processing and interpretation.

(2) In 1980, he for the first time introduced the parameter of seismogenic ruptures density based on destruction concentration criterion, which became one of the most efficient earthquake precursors.

(3) He is one of the authors of the method for medium-term earthquake forecasting by a complex of prognostic features (algorithm MEE – Map of Expected Earthquakes) (1985).

 SELECTED PUBLICATIONS:

Sobolev G.A., Zavialov A.D., (1981). A concentration criterion for seismically active faults.In “Earthquakes prediction – an international review”, Maurice Ewing Series 4, New-York, p.377-380.

Shumilina L.S., Kuznetsova K.I., Zavialov A.D., (1982). The magnitude-frequency relation as an evidence of tectonic stress with reference to the Kamchatka seismic area. J. Earthquakes prediction research, v.1, # 3, p.265-273.

Zavialov A.D., Sobolev G.A., (1988). Anology in precursors of dynamic events at different scales.Tectonophysics, 152, p.277-282.

Sobolev G.A., Chelidze T.L., Zavyalov A.D., Slavina L.B., Nikoladze V.E., (1991). The maps of expected earthquakes based on a combination of parameters. Tectonophysics, 193, p.255-265.

Zavyalov A.D., Sobolev G.A., (1991). Experience in using maps of expected earthquakes for medium-term prediction at various seismoactive regions. International Conference on “Earthquake Prediction: State-of-the-art”, Scientific-Technical Contributions. Strasbourg, France, 15-18 October 1991, p.175-178.

Zavyalov A.D., Zhang Zhaocheng, (1993). Using the MEE (Map of Expected Earthquakes) Algorithm in Long- and Medium-Term Earthquake Prediction in Northeast China.Journal of Earthquake Prediction Research, Beijing.Vol.2, # 2, p.171-182.

Smirnov V.B., Ponomarev A.V., Zavyalov A.D., (1995). Acoustic structure in rock samples and the seismic process.Physics of the solid Earth (English translation).Vol.31, # 1, August 1995 (Russian edition: January 1995), p.38-58.

Smirnov V.B., Zavyalov A.D., (1997). Incorporating the fractal distribution of faults as a measure of failure concentration.Volcanology and Seismology, vol.18, p.447-452.

Zavyalov A.D., NikitinYu.V., (1997). Concentration of ruptures as a criterion of failure preparation at different scales.Volcanology and Seismology, vol.19, p.79-96.

Ponomarev A.V., Zavyalov A.D., Smirnov V.B., Lockner D.A., (1997). Physical modeling of the formation and evolution of seismically active fault zones.Tectonophysics, vol.277, # 1-3, p.57-82.

Zavyalov A.D., Habermann R.E., (1997). Application of the concentration parameter of seismoactive faults to Southern California. Pure and Applied Geophys, vol.149, p.129-146.

Sobolev G.A., TyupkinYu.S., Zavyalov A.D., (1999). Map of expected algorithm and RTL prognostic parameter: joint application. Russian Journal of Earth Sciences. Vol 1, # 4, July 1999, p.301-309. http://eos.wdcb.rssi.ru/rjes/rjes_r00.htm

Zavyalov A.D., NikitinYu.V., (2000). Seismicity localization before large Kamchatka earthquakes.Volcanology and Seismology, vol.21, p.525-534.

Zavyalov A.D., (2002). Testing the MEE Prediction Algorithm in Various Seismically Active Regions in the 1985-2000 Period: Results and Analysis.Physics of the Solid Earth.vol.38, # 4, pp.262-275.

Zavyalov A.D., (2005).From the Kinetic Theory of Strength and Fracture Concentration Criterion to the Seismogenic Fracture Density and Earthquake Forecasting.Physics of the Solid State.vol. 47, # 6, pp.1034–1041.Translated from FizikaTverdogoTela, 2005, vol. 47, # 6, pp.1000–1008.

Zavyalov A.D., (2006). Middle-term Earthquake Prediction: fundamentals, method, realization. Moscow, Nauka Publishing House, 256 p. (in Russian).

National Report to the International Association of Seismology and Physics of the Earth’s Interior of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics 2003-2006. (2007) // A.D.Zavyalov (ed.). Moscow, National Geophysical Committee RAS, http://ngc.gcras.ru/documents.html.

Gliko, A.O., A.D. Zavyalov, A.A. Malovichko, G.A. Sobolev, V.I. Ulomov, Eds. (2011), National Seismological Review of Russia (2007–2010), Publ. GC RAS, Moscow, 174 pp., doi:10.2205/2011-IUGG-NRR2007-2010.

Smirnov V.B., Zavyalov A.D. (2012). Seismic Response to Electromagnetic Sounding of the Earth’s Lithosphere // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, Vol. 48, No. 7–8, pp. 615–639. DOI: 10.1134/S1069351312070075.

 Guglielmi A.V., Zotov O.D., Zavyalov A.D. On the aftershocks of the Great Sumatra-Andaman earthquake // Cornell University Library: arXiv:1307.4140, 17 p.

Gavyalov A.D. (2013). The Map of Expected Earthquakes Algorithm: Results of 30 Years of Testing and Latest Findings // Journal of Georgian geophysical society. Issue A. Physics of solid Earth. GCI Publishing House, Tbilisi.Vol.16A, pp.77-87.

Guglielmi A.V., Zotov O.D., Zavyalov A.D. (2014). The Aftershock Dynamics of the Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, Vol. 50, No. 1, pp.64-72. DOI: 10.1134/S1069351313060037

Zhigalin A.D., Zav’yalov A.D., Mindel’ I.G., Nikonov A.A., Popova O.G., Rogozhin E.A., Ruzaikin A.I., Sevost’yanov V.V. (2014). The Phenomenon of the Sea of Okhotsk Earthquake of May 24, 2013, in Moscow // Herald of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Vol.84, No.4, pp.283–291. DOI: 10.1134/S1019331614040054

 Zavyalov, Alexey, Nurlu, Murat, Garcia-Fernandez, Mariano, Parolai, Stefano and Kuterdem, Kerem (2014). Recommendations of the European Seismological Commission (ESC) for the Post Hyogo Framework of Action (HFA2) // In: Planet@Risk, Vol.2, #5, pp.359-361. Special Issue for the Post-2015 Framework for DRR, Global Risk Forum GRF Davos, Davos.

Gogozhin E.A., Zavyalov A.D., Andreeva N.V. (2014). Macroseismic Manifestations of the Okhotsk Earthquake of May 24, 2013 in the Territory of Moscow // Seismic Instruments, Vol.50, No.4, pp. 278–289. DOI: 10.3103/S0747923914040057

 Gliko A.O., Zavyalov A.D., Eds. (2015), National Report for the IASPEI of the IUGG 2011–2014, Geoinformatics Research Papers, 3, BS3010, GCRAS Publ., Moscow, 25 pp. DOI: 10.2205/2015IUGG-RU-IASPEGuglielmi A.V., Zavyalov A.D., Zotov O.D., Lavrov I.P. (2017). Dependence of the Aftershock Flow on the Main Shock Magnitude // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, 2017, Vol. 53, No. 1, pp.10-17. ISSN: 1069-3513. DOI: 10.1134/S1069351317010086

 Zotov O.D., Zavyalov A.D., Guglielmi A.V., Lavrov I.P. (2018). On the Possible Effect of Round-the-World Surface Seismic Waves in the Dynamics of Repeated Shocks after Strong Earthquakes // Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth, 2018, Vol. 54, No. 1, pp. 178-191. DOI: 10.1134/S1069351318010159